Monday, 24 September 2007

Will Gordon Brown win the next election?

The people did not elect this man to be Primeminister as this was Tony Bairs plan. It is all to do with joining the EU, this will happen if Gordon brown wins the next election.
So far Gordon has handled a number of problems that have happened in our Country quite well with immediete response.
I do not think even if their is any opostion from any other party that he will lose the election.
I think that if Tony Blair had left at the end of his term that Gordon would not have been elected to be Primeminister, so what he did was quite clever to leave earlier to become president of the EU. I think the majority of our Country will have more confidence in Gordon especially if Tony creates some publicity just before the election.
I also think that if the pound became quite weak due to the dept crisis and our banks being too greedy that there would be no excuse not to join the EU. This is an interesting question, what would happen if we join the EU with a strong pound?
I think that Gordon has been re-structuring his party quite well. He has made a Policeman into a minister and a surgeon from the NHS into a minister, it all appears quite professional for a man we have not ellected.
The only thing I hated about Gordon is that when he was Chacellor he taxed us all to the hilt that meant he was able to keep up with most of the overspending of our Country.
I do think that it is quite clear that if he holds an election in as early as October this Year he will win.

4 comments:

Master Problem said...

Blair for EU president links.

FT website

Daily Mail

Toenail said...

Your posting raises several interesting issues.

Firstly may I say without trying to be judgmental that posting to a site such as this requires a bit more effort than usual emails. This blog does not include a spell checker, so you have to keep a dictionary to hand. Also it is important to read your post through, maybe twice, to spot trivial errors such as theirs instead of there's, and other easy spelling mistakes.

Another suggestion is to add a space between long sentences or paragraphs which encapsulate complete topics. Because of the narrow pagination it breaks up huge blocks of texts into manageable chunks.

In further reference to your posting. I clicked on 'comment' and then on 'show original posting' and printed it off. This gave me a chance to refer to it as I made comment.

In theory a Party is elected to Government, not the leader of the party. Though in practice it is usually a charismatic leader who is really voted for, when the constituents don't give a toss about their local prospective MP. In that respect we all do democracy a dis-service.

So having elected a party, they can then change their leader to whoever they like, and the 'people' do not have a constitutional right to demand an election.

This is what has happened here, and Gordon Brown has become the leader of his party and by definition (as the governing party) the first minister of Parliament.

Though in theory we voted for our local man, in practice we voted for the party with the leader and policies of our choice. In the era of successive Tory victories it was said that if you put up a blue pig it would be elected.
Now any person with the New Labour banner is likely to get in by default.


Because we voted for a leader and a party and not for our local man we naturally feel affronted that the new one has not had our approval.

The previous Prime Minister, Tony Blair had a big grin, and spoke with a forked tongue. After several wins, he went past his best-before-date, especially when he took us into a war without our approval and based on fabrications and lies.

The tide turned against him and he bowed out, before the knives really turned on him, as the did for Margaret Thatcher.

In came Gordon Brown, the grey man. The man who had taxed and spent in the traditions of old Labour. Also the man with a good brain who can present information in such a clever manner that we still can't tell if we are being deceived.

At the last budget he finished off with saying that to help the lower paid he had decided to scrap the 10% lower tax band. This brought cheers from the members of the house, the majority who were Labour anyway. It took 2 or 3 days before anyone realised that scrapping the lower 10% tax band did not mean less tax for anyone, but that the first £2000 of earnings would now be taxed at 22% instead of 10%. Everyone would now be £200 a year worse off. Is this man clever or what?

Now that we have seen him in office for a bit, most people are impressed that he isn't trying to gratuitously curry favour with us with smooth talking and a big grin, but appears to be a straight talking serious politician. What a pleasant change from the Blair years.

Now the Conservative Party find themselves in trouble. They had elected themselves a Blair look-a-like. Now everybody has had enough of Blair type politicians and don't want another one. Also he is running around like a headless chicken thinking up variations to traditional Conservative policies that no traditional supporter knows what the party stands for any more.

During the reign of Queen Victoria the ruling party (of the right wing) was called the Whigs. A relatively new party came into existance called the Tories and replaced the former Liberals as being the principal opposition. Then during her reign the Tories won an election as the largest single party but without a majority. Anyway, without boring you too much with political history, the Tories effectively replaced the Whigs which eventually ceased to exist.

What we have now is a similar situation. The Conservatives occupied the centre ground of British politics for decades, but New Labour has now taken that ground. In effect New Labour now is the name for what ten and more years ago were Conservative politics. You could say that Tony Blair was the best Conservative Prime Minister since Maggy Thatcher, at least until he took us to war in Iraq.

The Conservative Party now has no-where to go. They could replace Cameron with Kenneth Clarke, but he is still pro-European, which would lose much of the traditional party supporters. But he is the only one I know who is a serious politician and would be a viable alternative to Cameron.

What is liable to happen is that Gordon Brown siezes the opportunity to obtain a mandate from the people for his governance by holding an election in November.
Cameron the loser will be thrown out as leader and the Conservatives will descend into the doldrums again.

The strange thing is that any traditional Conservative supporters should now be voting for New Labour, because that is the party representing the Tory policies. Any traditional Labour supporters should be voting Liberal or something else, like Social Democrat, or Communist because New Labour has moved away from that politial ground.

It may be a repeat of the Whigs and Tories of 100 years ago. There is no reason why the Conservatives should continue to exist.

My personal view is that having served 10 years as the ruling party. Gordon Brown is pledging to improve hospitals, school, the social services, etc, just the same as they have done regularly down the years as things continue to get worse. Just empty platitudes.
No wonder less people vote at general elections. It just becomes a pointless exercise.

I hope this helps.
Toenail

Master Problem said...

However you blog, suits you :)

Your correct in saying that the things that Brown is promising now, is the same as what they have promised all along. They have indeed thrown money at a lot of things and the systems have still failed. It is the core issues, always, that is the problem.

Wages: Not for the people in the council offices, but in the hospitals, schools and Emergency services that have always needed it.

And taking our country on illegal wars, although this may create jobs and industry, hopefully not just for the US, it also makes it nearly impossible for people in the UK/US to travel to many places in the world, that they could a few years ago. Unfortunately we are in the same situation as the average american, where both parties say they will do the same thing if elected. Create more war, therefore taking vital funds out of schools and hospitals and spending on bombs which can kill lots of people.

The fact that some people including myself think that brown is appearing worse than Blair for this sort of thing, makes me not like him.

I am not sure how i will vote, but the tendancy is away from the party that has disapointed me so much in the last few years. I am one of the people who is suffering under Labours new polices. So would like a drastic change. Maybe i will waste my vote on the 3rd party. lol

Toenail said...

It is now October 7th, and Gordon Brown has chickened out, now that the Tories are 3 points ahead of them.

Now he is on the slippery slope, as the World economy is still suffering from too much lending on the housing market in the USA.
Britain also has many people overstretched on their mortgages and credit card debt is equivalent to the debts of some 3rd world countries.

The housing market is still over inflated and sitting on the edge of a precipice. The Post Office workers are on strike. The people of Britain want our soldiers to come home.

Petrol has just gone up again and it is going up two times more in the next 18 months. Council tax will continue to rise above inflation.

The NHS is in crisis again because the cash has run out.
Crime is on the rise and the police are hounding generally law abiding citizens and car drivers in order to get their quotas of solved crimes each month.

GCSE and A level results continue to improve whilst the ability of young people to do even the simplest of tasks like reading writing and arithmatic is getting poorer.

The universities are now setting their own examinations to select students, and there is to be a massive change to the corriculums and exams system because most of society is not happy with the education system.

The Government is still spending too much, including on the two war fronts, and are committed to several very expensive military projects, so the money is running out for them again. Just like it did under Wilson.

Tax and spend, tax and spend and eventually the tax burden becomes too much and people start actively avoiding tax. The revenue then falls and public pay settlements have to be trimmed back. Eventually the public services grind to a halt due to strike action.

This is the scene for the next two years, after which Labour will be thrown out of power and the Tories will inherit a shambles.

Toenail.